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Home Politics Western Promises: The Future of Alberta as the Hot Destination for Interprovincial Migrants

Western Promises: The Future of Alberta as the Hot Destination for Interprovincial Migrants

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Written by Kendall R. Giberson   
Tuesday, 27 May 2008 19:00

With the United States currently in a state of economic recession, Canadians in many sectors have also felt the impact. Particularly hard-hit have been Ontario's manufacturing industries, which have always relied upon the market south of the border. This is evident in the current layoffs in the automobile assembly plants and auto parts makers in southern Ontario. Lowered production and losses of jobs with no indication of an upturn in the near future spells doom for the country as a whole, as Ontario's industry has long been considered the engine that drives Canada's economy. However, many economists are saying that Canada as a whole will avoid recession due to a strong domestic market and the economic powerhouse that is Alberta's energy industry.

Adrian Steeves 1
Illustration by Adrian Steeves


This information comes as no surprise to Canadians who have not been living under a rock for the past decade. Saying that Alberta is experiencing an economic boom is stating the obvious. Now that an economic downturn looms, Alberta's prominence and impact upon the rest of Canada is even further accentuated. An increasing number of Canadians have left their home provinces and put down roots in Alberta. And now, the prospect of plentiful, high-paying jobs in Alberta is even more enticing to the rest of Canada, and not just to the laid-off fishermen in the Atlantic provinces. With the production cuts in Ontario's factories, the potential looms for an even larger exodus to the Canadian west.

Adrian Steeves 2
Illustration by Adrian Steeves


Even before the current economic ills, Alberta has been the popular destination of choice for interprovincial migrants since the mid-to-late 1990s. Between 1996 and 2006, the Calgary-Edmonton corridor outpaced the rest of the country's metropolitan areas in terms of economic expansion and population growth. In that time, the Calgary area grew by 31.4% from 821,628 to 1,079,310 people, while Edmonton grew from 862,597 to a population of 1, 034,094, or 20%.

The city of Red Deer, which sits roughly halfway between the two cities, grew by 34%, while the Calgary suburb of Airdrie and the city of Grande Prairie grew by 81% and 50%, respectively in those ten years. The municipality of Wood Buffalo, which contains the boom town of Fort McMurray, grew by 46% from 35,213 in 1996 to 51,496 in 2006, and many project the population to reach 100,000 by the year 2012. Simply put, this is the era of Canada's "Black Gold Rush", as hundreds of thousands of Canadians have gone west to cash in on Alberta's economic fruits. Indeed, the average Gross Domestic Product per person in that province has doubled from $33,553 to $69,789 between 1995 and 2005, with an average hourly wage currently soaring at $21.

Adrian 3
Illustration by Adrian Steeves
A large portion of Alberta's population growth – 43% between 2000 and 2005 – has come from interprovincial migration. Of that number, about 20% came from Quebec and the Atlantic Provinces, 25% from Ontario and 46% from Saskatchewan and British Columbia. It thus came as no surprise when Alberta emerged as the overwhelming leader in net provincial migration according to the 2006 census. When one looks at migrants over the age of five, roughly 1 in 19 Atlantic Canadians moved out of their respective provinces in 2006, and 1 in 22 left British Columbia and Saskatchewan. The figures for Ontario and Quebec are the same at 1 in 100. One can imagine the impact on Alberta if the rates of interprovincial migration in these two highly populated provinces reached even half those of the rest of the country. Hence, the Atlantic Canadians who are going further "down the road" than they did in previous decades could be joined by throngs of displaced central Canadians looking to ply their trades in a more favourable job market.

The news would not be all good. There already exist several problems in the Alberta due to the boom. The most evident is the housing market, as people are finding it difficult to find places to live, especially in the Calgary area. Not only are there next to no vacancies, but real estate prices have grown exponentially over the last five years. People have to live further and further away from their places of employment in order to find any available housing. Cheap and affordable housing in the Calgary area or any of the boom towns is, so to speak, a luxury. Construction companies cannot keep up with the demand as it is, so one can imagine what another wave of out-of-province workers would do: picture tent cities full of highly-paid trades people on the outskirts of Alberta cities. This is not as far-fetched as it seems, as some people are renting out their garages, barns and storage sheds to roughnecks, an arrangement that gets complicated in the cold northern Alberta winter when the water pipes freeze.

Despite the potential for pitfalls, many Canadians still view Alberta as the promised land and feel that the positives will outweigh the negatives once they get settled in. This trend will continue for the near future and the threat of recession in the U.S. and the resulting impact on Ontario's factories will see Alberta continue to grow with no end in sight. So if you feel the pinch of economic uncertainty in your area, break out your Stetson and develop a taste for prime Alberta beef, because the oil sands beckon.

© 2008 Kendall R. Giberson, Illustrations by Adrian Steves; licensee (Cult)ure Magazine. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0 ), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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Author of this article: Kendall R. Giberson

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